Hurricane models “Meltdown”?


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NEW ORLEANS (WGNO) – You want answers! So, why does it seem like every meteorologist is beating around the bush regarding information about the up-and-coming tropical system? Here’s why…

It’s not just your local broadcast meteorologists that are being transparent about the lack of data we have to work with surrounding this storm. Even the local National Weather Service office for New Orleans chimed in on their thoughts when forecasting for the week ahead. This was stated in their latest area forecast discussion released on Friday morning…

“Models are having an absolute melt down on how to handle the area that the
hurricane center has wrapped in 40% for development”
.

The National Hurricane Center is still highlighting the northern Caribbean as an area of potential development for next week. Atmospheric conditions will be very favorable for enhanced thunderstorm activity in this region, which will likely organize itself into a closed low, then a named system.

As for location of landfall, time that it spends in the Gulf, and intensity of the storm… we simply just do not have enough information about the storm yet to give that information responsibly to the public. Forecast models have had this storm making landfall from Mexico to the Florida Peninsula. Imagine telling ALL off those residents that there’s a chance for a major hurricane heading straight for them. Not only would that be incorrect, but it would also irresponsibly place fear onto communities that may be very sensitive to the topic of hurricanes at the moment given the fact that they are still recovering from past storms.

We know the public wants a concrete answer so that there is ample time to prepare. We will have a better grasp of the situation by the weekend. Stay up to date on the forecast entering NEXT WEEK.

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